Bettina's Expert Picks

Sports betting has long been more than just a sideshow – for many fans, it's an integral part of matchday. Smart betting requires more than just gut feeling: current form, injuries, and above all – accurate data! All of this can make a difference in our information-driven world. For this reason, we've created a column that provides you with three hot tips every week. Gut feeling plays only a minor role. We rely on a special algorithm that transforms all available numbers and data into a lucrative betting tip. We'll reveal the name of the software below.

This week I'm taking a look at the games I've found the best lines for in the Bundesliga and English Premier League. Check out my top 3 picks.

Tip 1: Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Dortmund

When Borussia Dortmund meets Mainz, the balance of power is usually clear – even though BVB has had its fair share of problems with the 05ers in recent direct duels. However, Dortmund is currently Bayern's number one pursuer, and this is where these numbers come from: With a projected goal ratio of 2.2 goals, Dortmund is well ahead of Mainz, which has only 1.52. The probability of winning is also clear: 53.1% for the Black and Yellows compared to a weak 24.8% for the Rhinelanders. Their attacking power particularly in striking – 9.7 projected shots and almost 5 on target, while Mainz barely manages more than 3.3 dangerous shots. Mainz may have the home advantage, but Dortmund's quality in attack is too strong to let the game slip away. Our software calculates a fair odds of -113, but fortunately we can bet with higher values. My tip: Take the Borussia Moneyline at +110 on ESPNBET.

Tip 2: Heidenheim - Augsburg

In the past, Heidenheim and Augsburg have repeatedly delivered exciting duels. But this upcoming match is likely to be different from its predecessors in this regard. The numbers confirm this picture: Augsburg is only expected to score 0.9 goals, while Heidenheim is only expected to score 0.72. This results in a total of just 1.5 goals – a full 1.0 below the current total. The attacking statistics also don't suggest a spectacle: Augsburg has 5.15 shots and only 2.09 on target, while Heidenheim is just above it with 5.94 shots and 2.84 on goal. The odds of winning are also very close, promising a tough, even game. All of this together clearly indicates that the smart choice is a bet on under 2.5 goals. My tip: DraftKings has under 2.5 goals at +100.

Tip 3: Chelsea - Brighton Hove Albion

Brighton have won the last two head-to-head matches, but before that, the Blues generally held the upper hand. We're predicting the same in the upcoming match, and the numbers from our software confirm this: While Brighton only has one expected goal, Chelsea are at a strong 2.77. In addition, the visitors have a clear win probability of 72.5%, compared to a meager 9.9% for the home side. Particularly impressive is Chelsea's attack, with 14.25 shots and almost 7 shots on target – more than twice as many as Brighton. Furthermore, the Blues will be playing in front of their home crowd. All in all, everything points clearly to a win for the Blues. Based on the numbers, the fair odds are -263, so I've found a real value bet. My tip: get over to FanDuel and take Chelsea at -140.

Promos of the Week – Get More Out Of Your Bet

With the tips just presented, you have a massive advantage just through the betting odds. You can increase this advantage even further by combining your sports betting tips with a betting bonus. In addition to free bets or bet-and-get promotions, odds boosts play a major role with the bookmakers in our betting bonus comparison. Since this column revolves around the number 3, we now present this week's three best promotions:

• BetMGM: Various betting boosts and a sign up promotion that offers $150 in bonus bets after you place your first wager.
• FanDuel: With one of the largest selections of promotions and boosts on nearly every sport, you can now get $300 in Bonus Bets when you sign up.
• DraftKings: Known for their amazing same game parlays, DraftKings have some of the biggest bet boosts in the industry. Sign up today and get $200 in Bonus Bets instantly.