Bettina's Expert Picks

Sports betting has long been more than just a sideshow – for many fans, it's an integral part of matchday. Smart betting requires more than just gut feeling: current form, injuries, and above all – accurate data! All of this can make a difference in our information-driven world. For this reason, we've created a column that provides you with three hot tips every week. Gut feeling plays only a minor role. We rely on a special algorithm that transforms all available numbers and data into a lucrative betting tip. We'll reveal the name of the software below.

This week I'm taking a look at the games I've found the best lines for in the Bundesliga and English Premier League. Check out my top 3 picks.

Tip 1: Borussia Dortmund – VfB Stuttgart

While Borussia Dortmund is storming through the Bundesliga with full force and shows no signs of weakness even in the autumn. Recent matches have showcased a Dortmund team that is convincing both offensively and defensively, consistently controlling its opponents. Only the draw against HSV doesn't fit this picture. Stuttgart is also on the upswing, but struggles to find a way through strong teams. A projected score of 2.76 and an impressive 75.5% probability of winning speak volumes in favor of BVB. Ten shots per game and over five on target demonstrate the visitors' offensive power. Stuttgart remains lackluster with only 0.9 expected goals and can offer little resistance to the Black and Yellow attacks. Everything points to Dortmund securing another home victory. We have calculated odds of -127 for BVB, but bookmakers are offering much better odds. Therefore, our prediction is: Dortmund to win at odds of -140 with FanDuel.

Tip 2: RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen

In Leipzig, fans shouldn't expect an offensive spectacle, but rather a match where tactics and discipline take center stage. Werder Bremen's attack remains lackluster, and they've barely managed more than one goal per game recently. RB Leipzig, while playing with structure away from home, generally avoids open, attacking football. The statistics support this assessment: together, the two teams average fewer than three goals per game. Despite Leipzig's status as favorites, their recent form (excluding the 6-0 win against Augsburg) suggests a goal fest is unlikely. Few shots on goal and a controlled midfield battle are to be expected. The signs clearly point to under 3.5 goals – a bet based on statistics and recent form. We're riding this trend and betting on under 3.5 goals at odds of -115 with DraftKings.

Tip 3: Newcastle United - Manchester City

Courage to cause an upset: Newcastle United are ready to challenge Manchester City and unsettle the favorites. Newcastle have shown strong form in recent matches, holding their own brilliantly against top teams. Manchester City are also in good shape, but it's easy to stumble at St. James' Park. Statistical predictions suggest a slight advantage for the visitors, with a projected score of 2.01 to 1.9. In head-to-head matches, both teams are fairly evenly matched in terms of shots on goal – Newcastle manage a solid 4.42 shots per game. Their probability of winning is also impressive at almost 38%, significantly higher than many expect. Those betting on a Newcastle upset combine strong form, statistics, and a good sense for this special match. This bet is rounded off with top odds: Newcastle to win at +250 with FanDuel.

Promos of the Week – Get More Out Of Your Bet

With the tips just presented, you have a massive advantage just through the betting odds. You can increase this advantage even further by combining your sports betting tips with a betting bonus. In addition to free bets or bet-and-get promotions, odds boosts play a major role with the bookmakers in our betting bonus comparison. Since this column revolves around the number 3, we now present this week's three best promotions:

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• FanDuel: With one of the largest selections of promotions and boosts on nearly every sport, you can now get $300 in Bonus Bets when you sign up.
• DraftKings: Known for their amazing same game parlays, DraftKings have some of the biggest bet boosts in the industry. Sign up today and get $200 in Bonus Bets instantly.