Bettina's Expert Picks

Sports betting has long been more than just a sideshow – for many fans, it's an integral part of matchday. Smart betting requires more than just gut feeling: current form, injuries, and above all – accurate data! All of this can make a difference in our information-driven world. For this reason, we've created a column that provides you with three hot tips every week. Gut feeling plays only a minor role. We rely on a special algorithm that transforms all available numbers and data into a lucrative betting tip. We'll reveal the name of the software below.

This week I'm taking a look at the games I've found the best lines for in the English Premier League on Boxing Day. Check out my top 3 picks.

Tip 1: Arsenal – Brightnon Hove Albion

London on the rise: Arsenal are currently playing like a team that dispatches its opponents with ease. In recent league matches, the Gunners have been solid and displayed strong passing game, though they have occasionally dropped points. Brighton & Hove Albion, on the other hand, have been inconsistent and have recently conceded too many chances, especially against top teams. The model clearly favors Arsenal with a projected score of 2.86 goals, giving them a strong 88% chance of winning. Over ten expected shots and more than six shots on target underline the Londoners' current attacking prowess. Brighton, in contrast, only manages 0.4 projected goals and appear toothless in attack. The odds look even better: We've calculated odds of -740 for a Gunners victory, and bookmakers are offering significantly higher values. Therefore, our prediction is: Arsenal to win at odds of -280 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Tip 2: Liverpool - Wolverhampton

Lights out, floodlights on – an intense but likely low-scoring duel is expected at Anfield. Wolves have rarely found their attacking rhythm in recent matches, often managing only one goal or even failing to score at all. Liverpool have shown more stability lately, but especially at home, the team has increasingly focused on control rather than a wild attacking display. The model predicts a total of just 2.5 goals and gives a five-star recommendation for "Under" – clear signals for a close game. Wolverhampton have a projected score of only 0.4 goals, while Liverpool have a solid, but not outstanding, 2.05. The combined expectation is therefore well below 3.5, suggesting a less than spectacular match. Those betting on Under 3.5 goals are following both their recent form and the sobering model data. That's exactly what we do at DraftKings, as this bookmaker offers this type of bet: Under 3.5 goals at odds of -150.

Tip 3: West Ham - Fulham

London Calling – West Ham United could spoil Fulham's party at the Olympic Stadium. In recent matches, the Hammers have looked more stable and defensively much more solid than at the start of the season. Fulham, on the other hand, have recently dropped points and repeatedly shown gaps in their counter-attacking game. The model sees West Ham slightly ahead of Fulham with a projected score of 1.82 goals, giving the visitors a higher probability of winning at 46.8%. With over nine expected shots and more than four shots on target, West Ham possesses sufficient attacking power to prevail at home. Fulham, while projected to score 1.4 goals, lags behind their upcoming opponent in the statistics. The West Ham vs. Fulham odds from our software also speak for themselves – the calculated odds are +119, and we can bet on a West Ham win at odds of +160 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Promos of the Week – Get More Out Of Your Bet

With the tips just presented, you have a massive advantage just through the betting odds. You can increase this advantage even further by combining your sports betting tips with a betting bonus. In addition to free bets or bet-and-get promotions, odds boosts play a major role with the bookmakers in our betting bonus comparison. Since this column revolves around the number 3, we now present this week's three best promotions:

• BetMGM: Various betting boosts and a sign up promotion that offers $150 in bonus bets after you place your first wager.
• FanDuel: With one of the largest selections of promotions and boosts on nearly every sport, you can now get $300 in Bonus Bets when you sign up.
• DraftKings: Known for their amazing same game parlays, DraftKings have some of the biggest bet boosts in the industry. Sign up today and get $200 in Bonus Bets instantly.