Bettina's Expert Picks

My 3 hottest sports picks of the week.

Sports betting has long been more than just a sideshow – for many fans, it's an integral part of matchday. Smart betting requires more than just gut feeling: current form, injuries, and above all – accurate data! All of this can make a difference in our information-driven world. For this reason, we've created a column that provides you with three hot tips every week. Gut feeling plays only a minor role. We rely on a special algorithm that transforms all available numbers and data into a lucrative betting tip. We'll reveal the name of the software below.

We'll focus on different leagues, starting with the Premier League in week 33. These are our three best sports betting tips.

Tip 1: Aston Villa vs. Newcastle United

We're expecting some real blockbusters in the opening fixture, and the Villans vs. Magpies clash is definitely one of them. At Newcastle, the focus is currently on the transfer of Alexander Isak. According to insiders, they're already preparing for life without him. At Aston Villa, however, everything is fine, and our software seems to recognize this. Not only are 2.6 goals predicted against Newcastle, but also a win with a probability of 64%. This means the fair odds are -182. However, the bookmakers are offering you significantly higher odds around +130. For this reason, our first betting tip is an Aston Villa win at odds of +130 at BetMGM.

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Tip 2: Manchester United vs. Arsenal London

A second top-of-the-table clash between the Red Devils and the Gunners takes place. United are looking to get back on the attack after a disastrous season. They've made some notable signings for their attack, including Matheus Cunha, Bryan Mbeumo, and most recently Benjamin Sesko. This is reflected in the numbers. Against Arsenal, our software predicts a whopping 14 shots from United, half of which will be on target. This results in a win probability of 43.90%, which translates to fair odds of +129. Bookmakers offer odds of around +100 for a Man United win, so we see good value in the following tip: Man United to win at odds of +100 with FanDuel.

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Tip 3: Brighton Hove Albion vs. Fulham

This match clearly lacks the appeal of a top-of-the-table encounter, but the underlying numbers have convinced us. We definitely see the Seagulls as a European Cup contender, and even though they narrowly missed out last season, they should be there this season. In their first match of the season, Brighton are the clear favorites against Fulham. But the predicted numbers make the situation even clearer. In addition to the home advantage, Brighton is also predicted to score 2.4 goals. A win probability of 61.8% (which results in odds of -161) rounds things out. Since Fulham is also expected to score 1.2 goals, we could bet on an over, but we'll stick with the match odds and bet: Brighton Hove to win at odds of -105 with DraftKings.

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With the tips just presented, you have a massive advantage just through the betting odds. You can increase this advantage even further by combining your sports betting tips with a betting bonus. In addition to free bets or bet-and-get promotions, odds boosts play a major role with the bookmakers in our betting bonus comparison. Since this column revolves around the number 3, we now present this week's three best promotions:

  • BetMGM: Various betting boosts and a sign up promotion that offers $150 in bonus bets after you place your first wager.
  • FanDuel: With one of the largest selections of promotions and boosts on nearly every sport, you can now get $300 in Bonus Bets when you sign up.
  • DraftKings: Known for their amazing same game parlays, DraftKings have some of the biggest bet boosts in the industry. Sign up today and get $200 in Bonus Bets instantly.
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