NFL Line Movement

NFL Line Movement Explained

NFL line movement is one of the most important aspects of betting professional football. Line movement occurs when money comes in on one side or another and the betting line or spread is impacted. NFL line movement is tracked from where the line started - otherwise known as the “open” - to where the line either currently sits or where it finishes; known as the “close”. Experienced bettors will track the NFL betting line to find the most opportune time to place a bet. When the betting line moves so do the overall NFL odds which corresponds to how much a bet will pay off. If you are able to track the line movement and time your bet correctly you can maximize your winnings. With BetQL you are able to see the entire line movement from open to close.

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NFL Line Movement Example:
The Baltimore Ravens are playing the Indianapolis Colts in Baltimore and the line is set at +/- 3 with the Ravens as the favorite. Since the Ravens are the favorite their odds are (-110) and the underdog Colts are (+120). Throughout the week leading up to the game there has been speculation on Andrew Luck’s recent injury and no one is sure if he will be playing. Due the Luck’s uncertainty there has been more than the average betting line movement. After news comes out that Luck practiced on Thursday the betting line changes and the line moves to (+110) as the Colts become less of an underdog. Then minutes before game time the news breaks that Luck is out and will not be playing which causes major betting line movement. With a backup quarterback now playing for the Colts they become huge underdogs and the line moves to (+180). With Andrew Luck out the Ravens have become even bigger favorites and their line moves up to (-200) meaning you would need to bet $200 on the Ravens to win $100.

NFL Opening Lines

An opening line is the initial point spread or moneyline that a sportsbook sets for a game. It is based on the sportsbook's assessment of the two teams involved and is designed to attract equal betting on both sides of the line.

For example, if the opening line for a game is Team A -7, it means that the sportsbook believes Team A is a 7-point favorite over Team B. If you bet on Team A to win and they win by more than 7 points, you win your bet. If they win by exactly 7 points, you push (neither win nor lose), and if they win by less than 7 points or lose, you lose your bet.

Opening lines are often adjusted by sportsbooks as betting comes in. If more money is bet on one team than the other, the sportsbook will adjust the line to make the odds more even. This is done to protect the sportsbook from losing money.

Opening lines can be a good indicator of how a game is going to be played. However, it is important to remember that they are just the initial assessment of a sportsbook and can change based on a variety of factors.

NFL Closing Lines

In the context of NFL betting, closing lines refer to the final point spreads and moneylines for each game as of the start of kickoff. These lines reflect the final consensus of the sportsbooks based on all the accumulated betting action until the game begins.

Why are closing lines important?

NFL closing lines show the final market sentiment. After adjustments based on incoming wagers, closing lines reveal where the majority of bettors placed their money. They can indicate potential value because if the closing line differs significantly from the opening line, it might signify hidden value for astute bettors who correctly predicted the market shift. Closing lines are also used for settlement: Once the game is over, payouts for all bets are calculated based on the closing line.

Reverse Line Movement Tracker

A reverse line movement tracker is a powerful tool that helps bettors identify situations where the betting line for a specific game is moving opposite the direction of the majority of public bets. This movement can be a crucial indicator of where "smart money" is flowing, potentially offering valuable insights for strategic bettors.

BetQL empowers you to crack the code of reverse line movement in the NFL. Ditch the guesswork and tap into our real-time public betting data and minute-by-minute line movement tracker. See where the majority of money is flowing, then watch the line shift in the opposite direction – an instant red flag signaling potential "smart money" at play. Don't get swept away by the crowd. BetQL equips you with the intel to fade the public and chase hidden value like a seasoned pro. Go beyond the surface, unlock the secrets of reverse line movement, and dominate the NFL betting landscape with BetQL on your side.

Want More Picks?

BetQL has picks for all different sports and bet types, so no matter how you want to win tonight, we have you covered. We are getting ready for football season and firing up our NFL over under picks to give you a good idea according to the data who will win on a week to week basis. We also have our experts putting out props bets and we are even gearing up with our favorite underdog picks because every knows early in the year you can make some easy cash on underdogs. If you love our NFL line movement tracker above make sure you check out everything else we have to offer.