College football is back and week four once again saw a shake up in the AP rankings. Our experts preview the hottest games of the week and give their picks based on the BetQL computer simulation model. Check out our expert college football picks for week 5.
Saturday's biggest clash is undoubtedly #6 Oregon facing of against #3 Penn State in a Big 10 clash of top-10 ranked teams. Neither team has had any real competition so far this season, with maybe the exception of Oregon taking down Northwestern 34-14 on the road in week 3. This game will be a rematch of last year's Big 10 Championship game which the Ducks won 45-37. Oregon QB Dante Moore has already thrown for over 950 yards this season with 11 TDs and an 83.7 QBR. Penn State QB Drew Allar has not been near as productive with just 626 yards, 4 TDs and a 38.8 QBR. Look for the Nittany Lions to run the ball more often with Senior RB Kaytron Allen, who leads the team with 273 rushing yards through 3 games.
The Ducks are 3.5 point underdogs for Saturday's game, and they'll have current #11 ranked Indiana next week, who put a beating on Illinois in week 4. The BetQL model has Penn State as a 75% favorite to win with a projected 29 points to Oregon's 20.5. DraftKings has the spread at 3.5. Our tip: take the Penn State -3.5 currently at -105.
Check out our full game analysis here.
Could we see another top-5 team get upset this week? If the Ole Miss Rebels have anything to say about it we might. With wins over Kentucky, Arkansas and Tulane, the Rebels have quietly worked their way up the CFB rankings from #21 to #13. As for LSU, they kicked off the season by going to Clemson and winning and haven't looked back. With Wins over Louisiana Tech, Florida and SE Louisiana, the Tigers are a true powerhouse in the SEC this season. These two teams needed overtime last season with LSU picking up a 29-26. With the SEC being so competitive, every win counts for teams looking to make the CFP this season.
The BetQL computer model has Ole Miss as a 57.9% favorite to win according to its projections outscoring LSU 26-23.5. Our tip: take the Ole Miss Moneyline on FanDuel currently at -118.
Check out our full game analysis here.
Another big SEC clash this weekend, but probably with a more predictable outcome. Alabama opened the season with a loss to FSU, but have bounced back with wins against UL Monroe and Wisconsin. Georgia took down Marshall and Austin Peay, but needed OT last week to take down #15 ranked Tennessee 44-41 on the road. Crimson Tide QB Ty Simpson is having a great season with 862 passing yards, 9TDs and an 81.5 QBR. The same could be said for Bulldogs QB Gunner Stockton though his passing yards aren't quite as high, his 89. 1 QBR is 5th best in all of college football this season. Georgia opened as a 3.5 point favorite, but we've seen that line move to 2.5 on ESPNBET.
The BetQL computer model has Georgia as 4 point favorites winning in 62% of its simulations. Our tip: Take the Indiana Moneyline from ESPNBET currently at -140.
Check out our full game breakdown here