Miami Dolphins vs

Buffalo Bills Prediction

In this upcoming matchup between the Buffalo Bills and the Miami Dolphins, the Bills are entering the game as solid favorites with a 65.0% chance of securing a victory. The Bills' ground game will be led by running back James Cook, who is projected to rush for 53.0 yards and has a 23.0% chance of scoring at least one rushing touchdown. On the other side of the field, if the Dolphins manage to come out on top in 35.0% of simulations, quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is expected to average 2.45 touchdown passes and just 0.36 interceptions. However, in their potential losses, his ratio drops to 1.85 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions. Additionally, Miami's running back Raheem Mostert performs significantly better when his team emerges victorious, averaging 105.0 rushing yards and 0.6 rushing touchdowns compared to just 62.0 yards and 0.2 touchdowns in losing efforts.

A key factor that could determine the outcome of this game is turnover margin. According to our analysis, the Buffalo Bills have a 51.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit, which greatly benefits their chances as positive turnover margin ultimately leads them to victory in a staggering 87.0% of simulations.

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