Super Bowl Odds, Predictions & More For Chiefs vs. Eagles

Check out the latest Super Bowl odds and predictions for Chiefs-Eagles

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Chiefs vs. Eagles Super Bowl Odds, Predictions & More

ATS Records: Chiefs 7-11-1, Eagles 10-9
O/U Records: Chiefs 8-11, Eagles 10-9

It’s safe to say the first 12-24 hours of Super Bowl LVII betting were unlike any other Super Bowl in recent memory. The Kansas City Chiefs opened up as slight favorites, only for the line to shift by four points in favor of the Philadelphia Eagles. Rather than remaining 1.5-point underdogs, which is where the Eagles were listed when betting opened, in less than a day they were 2.5-point favorites. That dramatic change surely leaves the door open for more line changes with a lot of time left before the game.

Outside of the changes in the betting line, the most obvious subplot of the Super Bowl involves Andy Reid facing his former team. Reid spent 14 seasons as head coach of the Eagles, leading them to the playoffs nine times. Reid took Philly to the NFC championship game five times but went to the Super Bowl just once, losing to the Patriots, 24-21, in Super Bowl XXXIX. Needless to say, Philly sports fans would be irate to see Reid beat them in the Super Bowl after living through so many missed opportunities when he was coaching the Eagles.

Keep in mind that Reid has coached against the Eagles three times since coming to Kansas City. All three of those games were won by Reid and the Chiefs. The most recent game between these teams came in October of last season when the Chiefs won a shootout at Lincoln Financial Field, 42-30. Patrick Mahomes threw five touchdown passes in that game, three of which went to Tyreek Hill, who torched the Philadelphia secondary for 186 yards on 11 catches. In a losing effort, Jalen Hurts completed 32 of 48 passes for 387 yards and two touchdowns. Of course, Hurts and the Eagles are a much different team since that game.

More recently, the Eagles head into the Super Bowl with a modest three-game winning streak, as Philly dropped a couple of games late in the season when Hurts was held out because of a shoulder injury. The Eagles have actually won the last eight games that Hurts has started and are 16-1 this season when he plays, including Philadelphia’s two playoff games. With Hurts back in the postseason, the Eagles have scored at least 31 points in each of their two playoff wins, reaching or exceeding that mark in five of the last seven games that Hurts has started.

Likewise, the Eagles have allowed just seven points in each of their two playoff games, helping them to hold six of their last eight opponents to 20 points or fewer. Needless to say, the Eagles covered the spread in both playoff games and are now 3-1 ATS when favored by five points or fewer.

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Meanwhile, the Chiefs are riding a seven-game winning streak heading into the Super Bowl. They’ve now won 12 of their last 13 games. The obvious caveat is that they’ve gone just 6-7 ATS during those 13 games, including a 3-5 ATS record in their last eight games. This is because five of their seven games during their current winning streak have been decided by a touchdown or less, so if nothing else, the Chiefs have found a way to win close games coming down the stretch.

Of course, it’s somewhat unusual for the Chiefs to be underdogs in a game, even if they technically opened as the favorite. As 2-point road underdogs against the Buccaneers early this season, the Chiefs won, 41-31. But as 2.5-point home underdogs, they lost to the Bills, 24-20. Those are the only two games this season that Kansas City has been an underdog, so it's anybody’s guess how they’ll respond as an underdog in the Super Bowl, especially with bettors so emphatically doubting them as soon as betting opened.

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Chiefs vs. Eagles Picks 

Dan Karpuc: Eagles ML

Since I picked the Eagles to win the Super Bowl before the playoffs started, I’m going to stick with them and trust that they’ll finish the job. Philadelphia has crushed their first two opponents, outscoring the Giants and Niners 69-14 combined, and have a ton of momentum headed into the biggest game of the year. Yes, Patrick Mahomes has been there and done that, but let’s not forget that Jalen Hurts has been no stranger to the spotlight. Those Alabama and Oklahoma teams he played on in college were on bright stages in front of huge crowds and he continuously delivered. This is a whole new level, obviously, but he’s been nothing but a leader in his MVP-caliber campaign. I expect Philadelphia to win this game in the trenches and ultimately come out with the victory. Take the Eagles at the best number.

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Brad Pinkerton: Chiefs-Eagles +230 One-Game Parlay

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Chiefs-Eagles Over 39.5
Chiefs-Eagles Under 59.5
Chiefs +11.5
Eagles +8.5
OGP Odds: +230

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