The 2022-2023 NBA regular season is underway and BetQL is your source for best bets, sharp picks, live public data, player prop values, final score projections and so much more for today's games! Scroll down to take a look at three player prop values you should take advantage of, coupled with exclusive sportsbook offers. Here are my updated NBA records for all picks made here on BetQL:
NBA (ATS & O/U Only): 101-68 (59.8%)
NBA Player Prop Totals: 52-33 (61.2%)
Kevin Durant Over 1.5 Made Threes vs. Hawks
Tonight, Kevin Durant and the Brooklyn Nets welcome the Atlanta Hawks to Barclays Center and I love his potential to make things happen beyond the arc. The Hawks reportedly offered a trade package for Durant before the season began, so this matchup could have a bit more meaning than usual for KD, who has gone over 1.5 made threes in six of his last eight starts. The Hawks have allowed 13.7 made threes per contest over their last three games, the 5th-most in the NBA over that span, so this is a nice time to capitalize, especially since getting Durant open looks from beyond the arc with catch-and-shoot action has become a recent priority.
“I’m never going to get no looks from the 3 unless I’m just dribbling up or try to,” Durant said last week, per the New York Post. He added, “I’m not going to get a wide-open 3. … I’m not going to get a guy leaving my body to help somebody driving so I can get a swing-swing 3. It’s just not going to happen. I’d love to get more 3s up.” Since making those statements and challenging his teammates and coaches to craft up ways to get him open looks, he’s attempted exactly five threes in back-to-back games and I expect him to have success from beyond the arc tonight. All he has to do is make two to win this bet!
Ja Morant Over 7.5 First Quarter Points vs. Pistons
Grizzlies superstar Ja Morant averages 8.6 first-quarter points per game, the 3rd-best mark in the NBA and has been aggressive out of the gates, taking 6.2 field goal attempts on average (6th-most). Couple that with the fact that the Detroit Pistons have the 5th-worst Defensive Rating in the first quarter and this is certainly a prop I feel comfortable targeting. He has a hefty full-game point total right below 30 points, but I’m going to target the blowout-proof first-quarter point total here since I can see this one getting out of hand.
Luka Doncic Over 2.5 Made Threes vs. Bucks
The last time Luka Doncic squared off against the Milwaukee Bucks, he went 3-of-7 shooting from deep and he’s gone over 2.5 made threes in six consecutive contests. Not only that, but he’s made four or more threes in five straight games (23-for-50, 46% from three-point range in that span). Based on his utter volume and unique ability to get separation from defenders wherever he is on the court, this is one of my favorite bets of the day as well, especially because Luka will want to put on a show for this nationally-televised ESPN game.
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